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Yankees vs. Mets odds, line: 2021 MLB picks, Subway Series predictions for July 3 from proven model

A pair of struggling teams meet when the New York Mets face the New York Yankees in the first of a three-game set during the 2021 Subway Series at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The teams sat through a lengthy rain delay on Friday before the game was postponed. The Mets (41-36), who lead the National League East Division, have lost two straight and four of five. The Yankees (41-39), who are fourth in the American League East, have lost five of six.

First pitch is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. The Yankees lead the all-time series 78-55, including a 40-26 edge in games played at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees are -145 favorites on the money line in the latest Mets vs. Yankees odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is 8.5. Before making any Yankees vs. Mets picks, you should check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every pitch of every game 10,000 times, had a banner 2019 season, the league’s last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line picks. It’s off to a sizzling start in 2021, going 107-81 on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 13 weeks, returning almost $1,000. Anyone following its MLB picks has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on Yankees vs. Mets. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the MLB lines and trends for Mets vs. Yankees:

  • Mets vs. Yankees money line: N.Y. Mets +135, N.Y. Yankees -145
  • Mets vs. Yankees run line: N.Y. Yankees -1.5 (+125)
  • Mets vs. Yankees over-under: 8.5 runs
  • NYM: The Mets are 5-1 in their last six Saturday games
  • NYY: The Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague home games against a team with a winning record

Featured Game | New York Yankees vs. New York Mets

Why you should back the Yankees

The Yankees are expected to start left-hander Jordan Montgomery (3-2, 4.06 ERA), who was the scheduled starter on both Thursday and Friday before they were rained out. Right-hander Gerrit Cole (8-4, 2.66 ERA), who was the original starter, will be called on in one of Sunday’s games of the split doubleheader. Montgomery pitched well in his last start, but took the loss in Boston’s 4-2 win on June 26. He allowed three earned runs on eight hits in six innings of work. He walked two and struck out five. Montgomery has started one career game against the Mets, getting a no-decision. He allowed two earned runs on five hits in five innings.

Outfielder Aaron Judge, who was named as a starter in the upcoming All-Star Game, is among the team leaders in hitting with a .285 average. He has 18 homers, 42 RBIs and 44 runs scored. He has a four-game hitting streak and has hits in five of six games, including a 3-for-3 performance against Kansas City on June 24. In that game, he doubled, homered and drove in a pair of runs. He has feasted on Mets pitching, hitting .308 with four homers and six RBIs in 11 career games against them.

Why you should back the Mets

The Mets are scheduled to start Taijuan Walker, who is 6-3 with a 2.38 ERA on the season. Offensively, first baseman Pete Alonso has been among the team leaders in hitting with a .260 batting average. He also has displayed some pop with 13 home runs, 40 RBIs and 33 runs scored, and has a pair of multi-hit games over the past four games. Alonso has had some success against the Yankees in the past. In 10 career games, he has a double, three homers and 10 RBIs.

First baseman Dominic Smith has also swung a hot bat of late, including a 2-for-4, two homer performance at Atlanta on Thursday. Smith is batting .249 with eight homers, 31 RBIs and 24 runs scored on the year. He has hit in eight of his last 12 games, including three two-hit performances during that stretch. He has had mixed results against the Yankees in his career. In 13 games, Smith has three doubles, two homers and five RBIs.

How to make Mets vs. Yankees picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 7.5 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can see the pick only at SportsLine.

So who wins Mets vs. Yankees? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line to jump on, all from the advanced model that’s off to a hot start in 2021.




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